Connecticut Gov. Ned Lamont leads Republican challenger Ryan Fazio 58% to 38% among likely voters in a new Quinnipiac University poll released less than three weeks before the election.
The Oct. 8-12 survey found that 3% did not choose a candidate. A September Quinnipiac poll had Lamont at 55% and Fazio at 38%; the new three-point change in Lamont's share is within the new poll's stated margin of sampling error and does not by itself establish a shift in support.
Among independent likely voters in the new poll, 53% backed Lamont and 44% backed Fazio. The survey found 30% of likely voters had not heard enough about Fazio to form an opinion, compared with 6% for Lamont.
The cost of living was the issue most commonly named as most important in the governor's race, at 24%, followed by the economy at 21% and taxes at 13%. Those findings describe Connecticut likely voters, not voters in New York or the Finger Lakes.
Quinnipiac surveyed 1,225 Connecticut likely voters from Oct. 8 to 12 by live telephone interviews using a probability-based sample. The university reports a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points for the full likely-voter sample, including the design effect; subgroup estimates have greater uncertainty. FingerLakes1 reported the September poll.
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