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How exactly does the Farmer’s Almanac predict winter of 2022?

As winter of 2022 grows closer, people are turning to the Farmer’s Almanac with it’s predictions for the upcoming season and how much snow we may or may not be getting.

So how do they do it, and are they actually accurate?

The forecasts are created with a “secret” formula that was created by the founder of the almanac, Robert B. Thomas.


While the formula is a secret, we know the old one used sunspots, meteorology, and climatology to come up with its answers.

Some of the formula has been updated, and now the formula is both astronomical and mathematical.

The positioning of where the planets are, tidal action from the moon, and sunspot activity are all taken into account when creating a prediction.

The one person who appears to know what the formula is goes by the fake name of Caleb Weatherbee, and they keep that, and their identity, a secret.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac claims to be 80-85% accurate in its predictions.

As for this winter, we should expect a “Frosty Flip-Flop Winter.”



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