XRP’s price today is consolidating just under $3.34, sitting at the edge of a potential breakout while flashing signals of an impending correction. Analysts are closely watching resistance near $3.46 and whale activity on Binance, as nearly 95% of XRP holders remain in profit — a setup that has historically preceded market reversals.
XRP: At the edge of a technical squeeze
On the 4-hour chart, XRP is coiling within a symmetrical triangle, with support near $3.20 and resistance at $3.34. Price recently reclaimed the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $3.30 and is now testing the 0.786 level at $3.46, according to CoinEdition.
If bulls can break above $3.46, the next major target is $3.66. However, failure to hold $3.20 could signal short-term downside.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at +0.04, indicating mild capital inflows, while XRP continues to hold above multiple key EMA supports — all signs of technical strength.d
Whale inflows and RSI divergence raise caution
Crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto warns that the XRP rally may be approaching a profit-taking zone, citing several on-chain red flags:
- 95% of XRP supply is in profit, historically associated with local tops.
- Whale inflows to Binance recently spiked, including the second-largest deposit in XRP’s history, often a precursor to corrections.
- RSI divergence on the weekly chart shows weakening bullish momentum, despite new highs.
“When prices hit highs but search interest lags, that’s institutional not retail — and that usually comes with reversals,” Steph said.
Macro factors and seasonal headwinds
Beyond chart signals, analysts are watching broader macro conditions:
- A 50 basis point Fed rate cut is expected in September, which could inject volatility.
- September has historically been a weak month for crypto, despite high market expectations.
- The Altcoin Season Index sits at 53, below the bullish threshold of 75.
XRP long-term outlook: Institutional support grows
Despite near-term risks, XRP continues to gain traction in institutional circles. Nasdaq-listed Thumzup Media recently committed to holding XRP in its $50M crypto treasury expansion, alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum. The firm is partnering with Coinbase Prime for custody.
Bottom line: Cautious optimism for XRP price
- Short-term outlook: Volatility likely as price coils near breakout. Watch $3.20 and $3.46 closely.
- Bearish risk: Whale deposits + high-profit holders = potential for sell-offs.
- Bullish catalyst: Break above $3.46 could open the door to $3.66 and beyond.
XRP Price Summary – August 14, 2025
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Price | $3.33 |
| Resistance Levels | $3.34 / $3.46 / $3.66 |
| Support Levels | $3.20 / $3.19 |
| RSI | Bearish Divergence |
| Whale Activity | Elevated on Binance |
| Profitability (% Supply) | 95%+ |
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