What to expect from summer 2025 weather across the U.S.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac has released its summer 2025 weather forecast, and it’s a warning for much of the country: get ready for intense heat and dry conditions. Whether you’re planning travel, tending your garden, or just trying to stay cool, understanding the forecast can help you prepare.
Meteorological summer starts June 1, while the solstice marks the official start on June 20. But this year’s summer weather may feel like it’s starting early—and could be one of the hottest in history.
Summer heat: Above-normal temperatures expected
According to the 2025 edition of the Almanac, most of the United States will experience hotter-than-average temperatures, particularly in July and August.
Key temperature outlook:
- Texas and Oklahoma: Up to 4°F above normal
- Central U.S. (Heartland states): 4°F above normal
- Desert Southwest and Deep South: Significantly warmer than average
- Pacific Northwest and Southern Florida: Slightly below normal temperatures
Last year’s summer was the hottest on record globally. If the 2025 trend follows suit, many regions could face record-breaking heat, prompting health and infrastructure concerns.
Will summer 2025 be dry or rainy?
While heat will dominate headlines, precipitation will be mixed. Most of the country should expect near or slightly below-normal rainfall, with several regions flagged for drought conditions.
Dry regions:
- Texas and Oklahoma
- Central Plains (e.g., Kansas, Nebraska)
- Southwest U.S.
Above-normal rainfall:
- South of the Great Lakes (Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Michigan, Kentucky)
- Northern and Central New England
- Southern Florida, Hawaii, and Southern Alaska
Tips for managing the summer heat
With heat waves likely, residents should:
- Test air conditioning systems before peak heat arrives
- Hydrate frequently and avoid outdoor activity during midday hours
- Use water-efficient gardening techniques in drought-prone zones
- Consider traveling to cooler regions like coastal or mountain areas
Canada’s summer outlook: Cooler and wetter than usual
For Canada, the 2025 Almanac forecasts a wetter-than-normal summer for much of the southern border, where most of the population lives. Temperatures will be cooler than average in many provinces, with southern Ontario the primary exception, expected to run warmer.
Canada summer highlights:
- Cooler temperatures from Atlantic Canada to British Columbia and Yukon
- Above-normal rainfall across southern provinces and Atlantic regions
- Near-normal rainfall in northern Quebec and the Arctic territories
2025 hurricane season: What’s predicted so far
The Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on June 1, but early development is possible.
Tropical storm forecasts:
- Mid-July: Florida to southern Virginia and Gulf Coast
- Late August: Florida and Texas
- Late September: Hawaii
Hurricane risks:
- Early August: Elevated threat in Texas
- Late August: Higher odds in Louisiana
Stay tuned for updated hurricane outlooks as the season approaches.
What’s next?
To see regional weekly forecasts, readers can purchase the full 2025 Old Farmer’s Almanac or its Canadian edition, both available online and in stores.
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