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Who is most likely to get a breakthrough case of COVID after vaccination?

The United Kingdom has released a study that shows there are very few deaths or hospitalizations among breakthrough COVID cases, but there were groups at higher risk than others.

A tool called QCOVID was created that helped to better identify people at highest risk of infection and was able to add over one million people to the country’s National Shielded Patient List, prioritizing them for when the vaccine became available.

Using a new tool called QCOVID3 that recognizes people at risk now that the vaccines have been rolled out, scientists have identified and ranked several groups of individuals at higher risk.


The list, at highest to lowest risk, include people:

  1. with Down Syndrome
  2. with a kidney transplant
  3. with sickle cell disease
  4. who are residents of adult care facilities
  5. receiving chemotherapy
  6. who have had a recent bone marrow or organ transplant
  7. with HIV or AIDS
  8. with dementia
  9. with Parkinson’s disease
  10. with several rare neurological conditions
  11. with cirrhosis

Another discovery was that vaccinated Paskistani and Indian individuals were at a twofold higher risk of breakthrough cases than white people.



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