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Warmer fall forecasted across Upstate New York: What does that mean?

Those in New York’s Southern Tier, Western New York, and northern Pennsylvania can anticipate a warmer fall season than usual, according to early predictions from the National Weather Service and national climate analysts.


Forecasters say there’s an 80% likelihood of “near or above average temperatures” throughout the fall, which encompasses a range of outdoor activities.

Based on long-term weather modeling and climate indicators such as ocean temperatures, forecasters say an expected rise in temperatures for September, potentially by 1 or 2 degrees above the average.

However, while the summer saw above-average rainfall in the region, predictions for fall precipitation remain uncertain, with no strong indications pointing either way.

Overall, as locals prepare for the coming months, forecasts hint at less of the typical fall chill and a continuation of the warmer trend.